{"id":1980,"date":"2022-07-31T19:22:07","date_gmt":"2022-07-31T16:22:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/?p=1980"},"modified":"2022-07-31T19:33:16","modified_gmt":"2022-07-31T16:33:16","slug":"yeni-bir-kuresel-enflasyon-cagina-hazirlanin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/?p=1980","title":{"rendered":"Yeni bir k\u00fcresel enflasyon \u00e7a\u011f\u0131na haz\u0131rlan\u0131n"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Inflation-protest.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"760\" height=\"507\" src=\"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Inflation-protest.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1981\" srcset=\"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Inflation-protest.jpg 760w, https:\/\/marx-21.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Inflation-protest-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Alex Callinicos<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>Bankalar ve patronlar taraf\u0131ndan dayat\u0131lan son enflasyon dalgalar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in i\u015f\u00e7ilerden bir m\u00fccadele gerekiyor.<br>Enflasyon, birdenbire, ba\u015fl\u0131ca kapitalist devletlerin \u00e7o\u011funda ekonomi politikas\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na hakim hale geldi. Son birka\u00e7 ayda, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de y\u00fczde yedi&#8217;nin \u00fczerine, ABD&#8217;de y\u00fczde sekizin \u00fczerine keskin bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi.<br>Bu bir \u015fok etkisi yaratt\u0131, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u0131smen, 2007-9 k\u00fcresel mali krizinden bu yana, sorun enflasyondan ve y\u00fckselen fiyatlardan \u00e7ok daha fazla deflasyon \u2013 d\u00fc\u015fen fiyatlar \u2013 oldu. Yava\u015f ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele eden bir enflasyon oran\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendirildi.<br>Deflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 koymak i\u00e7in merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 en aza indirdi. Ayr\u0131ca niceliksel geni\u015fleme (QE) politikas\u0131n\u0131 da benimsediler -bu nedenle para yaratmak ve bankalar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara bor\u00e7 vermeye te\u015fvik etmek i\u00e7in tahvil sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in kullanmak gibi -. Sert neoliberaller bu politikay\u0131 k\u0131nad\u0131lar.<br>Paran\u0131n ortodoks miktar teorisine g\u00f6re, para arz\u0131 artarsa \u200b\u200bfiyatlar y\u00fckselecektir. QE&#8217;nin ele\u015ftirmenleri enflasyonun artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ama olmad\u0131. Bunun yerine zenginler, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ucuz paray\u0131 daha fazla hisse ve gayrimenkul sat\u0131n almak ve oldu\u011fundan daha da zengin olmak i\u00e7in kulland\u0131.<br>Peki ne de\u011fi\u015fti? \u00dcretken ekonomide, esas olarak pandeminin neden oldu\u011fu birka\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fiklik oldu. Mal ve hizmetlere olan talep dengesi de\u011fi\u015fti. \u00d6rne\u011fin, varl\u0131kl\u0131 haneler restoran ve barlara gitmek yerine evde t\u00fcketmek i\u00e7in yiyecek ve i\u00e7ecek sat\u0131n ald\u0131. Mallara olan y\u00fcksek talep, onlar\u0131 tedarik etmede \u00e7e\u015fitli sorunlarla \u00e7ak\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Belki de en iyi bilinen \u00f6rnek, bilgisayar \u00e7iplerinin eksikli\u011fidir.<br>Sonra, di\u011fer \u015feylerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, yenilerinin k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 telafi etmek i\u00e7in ikinci el arabalar\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 f\u0131rlad\u0131. \u0130\u015f\u00e7iler, daha iyi \u00fccretli ve daha keyifli i\u015flere ge\u00e7mek i\u00e7in izne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rd\u0131. Arz ve talep uyumla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a bu t\u00fcr bozulmalar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun \u00fcstesinden gelinece\u011fini g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in Adam Smith&#8217;in piyasaya olan inanc\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015fmak zorunda de\u011filsiniz.<br>Ancak iki uzun vadeli e\u011filim, resmi karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Birincisi, ekonomiler k\u00f6m\u00fcr gibi en k\u00f6t\u00fc fosil yak\u0131tlara olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a gaz talebi artt\u0131. \u00d6zellikle \u00c7in ve G\u00fcney Kore gibi Do\u011fu Asya ekonomileri daha fazla gaz ithal etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Bu arada, Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan&#8217;\u0131n hakim oldu\u011fu OPEC+ karteli ve ABD kaya petrol\u00fc ve gaz end\u00fcstrisi, \u00fcretimini art\u0131rmay\u0131 reddederek kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flad\u0131.<br>Yani ge\u00e7en k\u0131\u015f Rusya Ukrayna&#8217;y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmeden \u00f6nce enerji fiyatlar\u0131 zaten y\u00fckseliyordu. Sava\u015f, emperyalistler aras\u0131 rekabetin artmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ikinci uzun vadeli e\u011filimi yans\u0131t\u0131yor. ABD ve m\u00fcttefikleri ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerken, \u00fcreticiler hala \u00fcretimi art\u0131rmay\u0131 ve enflasyonu art\u0131rmay\u0131 reddediyor. Bu, Avrupa&#8217;da sert bir ya\u015fam maliyeti s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<br>G\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 da f\u0131rlad\u0131. Bu k\u0131smen, aralar\u0131nda d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6rtte birini temsil eden Rusya ve Ukrayna&#8217;dan yap\u0131lan bu\u011fday ihracat\u0131n\u0131n kesintiye u\u011framas\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Ancak finansal spek\u00fclasyon da \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6rd\u00fcr. Lighthouse Reports, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan sonra bu\u011fdaya yat\u0131r\u0131m yapan emtia fonlar\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck bir para giri\u015fi tespit etti.<br>Hububat \u00fcretiminin son 15 y\u0131lda biraz artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na, fiyatlar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131nca dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve hangi y\u00f6nde hareket edeceklerine dair spek\u00fclatif bahisleri yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ortodoks enflasyon teorisi, fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f hakk\u0131nda \u00e7ok az \u015fey a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. Ancak, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 keskin bir \u015fekilde art\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik tepkisini hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu, &#8220;\u00fccret-fiyat sarmal\u0131n\u0131n&#8221; saplant\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde tekrarlanan korkular\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor &#8211; ba\u015fka bir deyi\u015fle, i\u015f\u00e7iler ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 talep ederek daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlara tepki g\u00f6steriyor.<br>Bu, enflasyonun bug\u00fcn tahmin edilenden \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek seviyelerde, y\u00fczde 25 civar\u0131nda zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 1970&#8217;lerde bir dereceye kadar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Neden bu kadar korkuluyor? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, Marx&#8217;\u0131n g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi, \u00fccretler ve karlar ters orant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. \u00dccretler y\u00fckselirse, karlar d\u00fc\u015fmelidir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, sonu\u00e7 bir ba\u015fka durgunluk olsa bile, k\u00e2rlar\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Enflasyon ger\u00e7ekten bir s\u0131n\u0131f m\u00fccadelesi bi\u00e7imidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kaynak: <a href=\"https:\/\/socialistworker.co.uk\/alex-callinicos\/prepare-for-a-new-era-of-global-inflation\/\">https:\/\/socialistworker.co.uk\/alex-callinicos\/prepare-for-a-new-era-of-global-inflation\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alex Callinicos Bankalar ve patronlar taraf\u0131ndan dayat\u0131lan son enflasyon dalgalar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in i\u015f\u00e7ilerden bir m\u00fccadele gerekiyor.Enflasyon, birdenbire, ba\u015fl\u0131ca kapitalist devletlerin \u00e7o\u011funda ekonomi politikas\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na hakim hale geldi. Son birka\u00e7 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[466,1,65],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-eko-pol","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1980"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1983,"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1980\/revisions\/1983"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marx-21.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}